NFL Win Totals 2026: Over/Under Win Projections For All 32 Teams
The NFL season is right around the corner, and everyone knows what that means: It’s time to make some money from your predictions by betting on NFL win totals.
Fans love to test their knowledge and project the outcomes based on what happened last season and during the offseason. This page is a tool to help you formulate and set your NFL win totals predictions.
Continue reading to learn more about our expert opinions on how each team will perform this year. We'll also explain how the odds work and offer a few recommendations on where to bet.
Highest NFL Win Total Projections
Let’s first focus on teams that offer the biggest win potential for the upcoming season (teams that everyone expects to do well). According to DraftKings, these are the top contenders entering 2026:
- Baltimore Ravens: Over/Under 11.5 (Over at -145)
- Los Angeles Rams: Over/Under 11.5 (Over at -145)
- Buffalo Bills: Over/Under 10.5 (Over at -125)
- Detroit Lions: Over/Under 10.5 (Over at -110)
Lowest NFL Win Total Projections
Based on last year’s performance (and offseason activity), these are the teams that bookies don’t expect to be any good. Here’s what DraftKings is forecasting:
- Arizona Cardinals: Over/Under 4.5 (Over at -110)
- Miami Dolphins: Over/Under 4.5 (Over at -110)
- New York Jets: Over/Under 5.5 (Over at +110)
- Las Vegas Raiders: Over/Under 5.5 (Over at +115)
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There are 32 teams, which gives you 32 opportunities to predict NFL win totals. And this can be a real challenge, which is why we’d like to help guide you by providing our NFL win total projections. Our analysis can help you determine your best bets.
| Team | Projected Win Total |
|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 4.5 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6.5 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 11.5 |
| Carolina Panthers | 10.5 |
| Chicago Bears | 9.5 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 9.5 |
| Cleveland Browns | 6.5 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 8.5 |
| Denver Broncos | 9.5 |
| Detroit Lions | 10.5 |
| Green Bay Packers | 10.5 |
| Houston Texans | 9.5 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 8.5 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 9.5 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 10.5 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 10.5 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 11.5 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5.5 |
| Miami Dolphins | 4.5 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 8.5 |
| New England Patriots | 9.5 |
| New Orleans Saints | 7.5 |
| New York Giants | 7.5 |
| New York Jets | 5.5 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10.5 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.5 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 10.5 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 10.5 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8.5 |
| Tennessee Titans | 6.5 |
| Washington Commanders | 7.5 |
*Odds as of Aug. 26, 2026
Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals enter their first season without Kyler Murray as the de facto starting quarterback since 2019. Jacoby Brissett showed promise last year and remains with the team, but Arizona only won three games, which is pretty abysmal. But the addition of Jeremiyah Love via the draft helps a lot, which is why we see them exceed four wins.
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta has a decision to make at QB, as they must choose between starting Tua Tagovailoa or Michael Penix. There’s no clear standout among the two of them, either. Plus, this is Kevin Stefanski’s first year coaching Atlanta after finishing 5-12 last season in Cleveland. We feel it’ll be a miracle if the Falcons can muster up six wins.
Baltimore Ravens
When it comes to NFL win totals in 2026, Baltimore is in an interesting position. This will be the first season since 2007 when John Harbaugh won’t be coaching the Ravens. The culture inside that building and in the locker room will change, but two-time MVP Lamar Jackson should rise to the occasion. We expect Baltimore to finish with 12 wins this year.
Buffalo Bills
There’s a lot to like about this team, especially when you consider Josh Allen’s NFL MVP odds. But Buffalo also heads into the upcoming season with a new head coach, Joe Brady. The good news, though, is that Brady spent two years as the offensive coordinator for Allen under previous head coach Sean McDermott. We think this team will win as many as 11 games.
Carolina Panthers
The Panthers showed plenty of promise last season by winning the NFC South. And QB Bryce Young also looked the part, delivering his best season in the NFL.
Bookies are offering -120 for Carolina’s NFL win totals odds at Over 6.5. We think the over here makes a lot of sense; Carolina is the reigning NFC South divisional champion for a reason.
Chicago Bears
Caleb Williams ascended last season under the tutelage of first-year head coach Ben Johnson. It seems only logical to expect Chicago to continue improving and developing into a true contender. But we're not quite convinced because Johnson has to prove that last season wasn’t an outlier. We're picking the Under on 9.5 wins for the Bears.
Cincinnati Bengals
Here’s one of our favorite NFL win totals picks. The Bengals underperformed last season, largely because QB Joe Burrow missed 9 games. If he stays healthy, this team will be extremely competitive and likely win more than nine games. Cincinnati, after all, is an offensive powerhouse.
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland has seen better days with its football program. DraftKings has the Browns at -120 for the Under on 6.5 wins this season. And we think this is the right pick. Cleveland’s QB situation is abysmal, and the team traded away its best player to the Rams (Myles Garrett). Head coach. Todd Monken, who replaced Kevin Stefanski, has a lot on his hands!
Dallas Cowboys
If there’s ever a sleeper team to keep an eye on, it’s the Cowboys in 2026. Dak Prescott is an MVP-caliber QB, and the offense was humming last season. If the defense can take a step forward this season, Dallas will contend for the division. We’ve got them winning over eight games.
Denver Broncos
The Broncos were one game away from the Super Bowl last season. Sean Payton’s football acumen is something you shouldn’t bet against. Plus, Bo Nix is looking like a true franchise QB. Making it back to the AFC title game will be a battle, but regardless, we can see this team easily winning over nine games.
Detroit Lions
What head coach Dan Campbell has done in Detroit is nothing short of phenomenal. He has a knack for making the most of players and transforming their careers (since joining Detroit, Jared Goff has been a perennial Pro Bowler). We think the Lions are poised for a great season in which they exceed 10 wins.
Green Bay Packers
We really like Jordan Love; he’s a proven and talented QB. But Matt LaFleur has shown plenty of chinks in his armor during his tenure as head coach in Green Bay (the late-season struggles in 2025 nearly cost him his job). We think the Packers may regress this year, so we're picking the Under on 10.5 wins.
Houston Texans
DeMeco Ryans is an excellent coach who has transformed the Texans into a contender. The defense follows a simple schematic structure that relies on every player’s individual athletic talents. The weak link here is QB CJ Stroud, who hasn’t quite lived up to expectations.
Ultimately, we think the Texans will take a step back in 2026 and win fewer than 10 games.
Indianapolis Colts
Colts fans are constantly wondering when the team will fix its QB situation. The last legit franchise quarterback was Andrew Luck back in 2018, which is a very long drought.
Indianapolis showed a lot of promise early on last season, but without a franchise QB, there’s nothing about the team that inspires me. We’ve got them winning fewer than nine games.
Jacksonville Jaguars
The NFL division odds currently favor the Jaguars to claim the AFC South. The team looked very poised last year under first-year head coach Liam Coen, achieving a 13-4 record. If Trevor Lawrence also plays like he did last year, we think it's safe to say that Jacksonville wins more than nine games.
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City has established a dynasty under Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid. But last year was a major flop; the team stumbled to a 6-11 record. Mahomes will have to rediscover and achieve his usual All-Pro form if the Chiefs expect to be competitive.
That said, we do think Kansas City can rebound this year and deliver at least 11 wins.
Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers are seemingly cursed, having won only two playoff games since 2009. But winning games during the regular season often isn’t an issue for Los Angeles.
The Over/Under is 10.5 games for the Chargers via DraftKings. Ultimately, we think Jim Harbaugh is a good enough coach to get them to 11 wins (just don’t expect a Super Bowl run).
Los Angeles Rams
After the acquisition of reigning Defensive Player of the Year Myles Garrett, the Super Bowl odds now favor the Rams. Plus, Matthew Stafford is coming off a season in which he won the MVP award, throwing for 46 TDs in 2025. There’s simply no way that this team doesn’t win fewer than 12 games.
Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders were the worst team in the NFL last season, winning only three games (hence why they drafted first overall in 2026). Future franchise QB Fernando Mendoza isn’t guaranteed the starting position, which means this season will serve as a building block. Picking Under 5.5 wins seems like the right play here.
Miami Dolphins
Miami fans are down in the dumps after what happened in 2025. After finishing 7-10, the team fired Mike McDaniel and released starting QB Tua Tagovailoa before trading their top wide receiver, Jaylen Waddle, to the Broncos.
In other words, this team will have a much different identity in 2026. Can they win more than four games? We wouldn’t count on it, so we're taking the Under.
Minnesota Vikings
Last season was very strange for the Vikings. Starting QB JJ McCarthy couldn't stay healthy, and when he was on the field, his performance was inconsistent at best. And even with Minnesota announcing Kyler Murray as the new starting quarterback, winning more than eight games seems unlikely to us.
New England Patriots
Fresh off losing the Super Bowl, the Patriots will try to make another run at it, which won’t be easy. The good news is that Drake Maye is legitimately a top-5 quarterback in the NFL.
But we’re skeptical about New England replicating its success from last season. We strongly believe this team could regress and finish with fewer than nine wins.
New Orleans Saints
Head coach Kellen Moore took a crappy team last season and made them competitive in the NFC South. Plus, QB Tyler Shough exceeded expectations and was a Rookie of the Year contender.
Bookies are offering +110 on Over 7.5 wins for New Orleans. If we were you, we’d take the Over because the price alone here is worth it.
New York Giants
John Harbaugh will take over a team that hasn’t won more than 10 regular-season games since 2016. But Harbaugh is a proven winner, and QB Jaxon Dart showed incredible potential during his rookie year. We think it’s very possible that this team wins more than seven games.
New York Jets
The Jets can never seem to figure it out. Plagued by perpetual ineptitude, New York hasn’t had a winning season since 2015.
Bookies are offering +115 odds for the Jets to win more than 5.5 games. Honestly, we think that’s being generous. We're taking the Under here, simply because the Jets haven’t proven anything in the past decade.
Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles are just two years removed from winning the Super Bowl. But the team traded away top receiver AJ Brown to the Patriots, so there could be a dip in offensive production. But even with Brown’s departure, we still think the Eagles can muster up 11 wins.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Head Coach Mike McCarthy takes over the Steelers after Mike Tomlin spent 19 years at the helm. This is also going to be Aaron Rodgers’ final season (more than likely).
Winning more than 10 games is very possible, but we're going to take the Under here. At 42 years old, Rodgers isn’t the MVP-caliber player he used to be.
Seattle Seahawks
The reigning Super Bowl Champions aren’t the favorites to claim another championship (according to bookies). But the Seahawks are still a stellar team, with depth at just about every position (especially on defense). We're picking the Over here, which sits at 10.5 wins.
San Francisco 49ers
If there’s one thing you can count on, it’s Kyle Shanahan coaching up his players. Even with the injuries that plagued San Francisco last season, the team managed to secure a 12-5 record.
But the 49ers also play in the NFL’s toughest division: the NFC West. That’s why we think they’ll fall short of 10 wins this season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
QB Baker Mayfield struggled last season, posting a 90.6 passer rating (his lowest since 2022). This could be a year in which he bounces back, but the team also lost long-time wide receiver Mike Evans to free agency. For us, Tampa Bay winning more than eight games doesn’t seem to be viable.
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee was among the very worst teams in 2025, posting a 3-14 record. But QB Cam Ward now has a full season under his belt. He showed signs of potential at the end of last season, which is why we're optimistic that the Titans can secure more than six wins.
Washington Commanders
It was two seasons ago that the Commanders reached the NFL Championship Game. But the team took a major step backward in 2025, largely due to injuries sustained by QB Jayden Daniels.
With a healthy Daniels on the field, winning more than seven games for Washington should be a cakewalk.
How to Bet on NFL Win Totals
For NFL win totals betting, you’ll need to visit an online sportsbook. Next, you can select the NFL category and browse the marketplace. Once you discover NFL win totals, you’ll select a team and choose the Over or Under for the total given.
But there’s more to it than predicting an outcome. You must also develop a strategy to improve your odds of winning. To assist you, we’d like to offer some advice on navigating the market and finding the best bets.
- Compare prices: Shop around and compare odds aggressively. The whole point of sports betting is to secure the best possible profit, and this is one way you can do it.
- Specialize your bets: Don’t just pick any random market and bet on it. Make sure that you’re sticking to what you know and picking a niche that makes the most sense based on your betting preferences.
- Track your bets: It’s easy to get lost in all the chaos. Tracking your bets can help you tighten up your bankroll because you’re taking note of where you’re leaking money.
How to Read NFL Win Totals (Over/Under) Odds
Half the battle is reading NFL odds (i.e., the price of every bet) and understanding the inherent value that they offer. We’d like to walk you through how it works so that you can discover the best opportunities to profit from your predictions.
Let’s say the odds are +150 on the Chiefs to win over 10.5 games this season. This means that bookies don’t favor Kansas City to exceed 10.5 wins. (The implied probability here is 40% for the Over.)
At +150, you’ll win $150 when you bet $100 (that’s if your prediction is accurate). If the odds were -150, you’d have to bet $150 to win $100.
Where to Bet on NFL Win Totals
We also know which NFL betting sites offer odds on NFL win totals. Sportsbooks like BetMGM, DraftKings, and FanDuel offer the best prices, helping you increase your profits. Plus, they offer ample market coverage of the NFL and other pro leagues in North America.
You can also explore the best NFL betting apps if you prefer to place bets from your mobile device. These apps are available for download on both iOS and Android, offering you optimal functionality.
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NFL Win Totals FAQ
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